Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about Omicron and market movement, the big picture of economic recovery, and the U.S. Dollar uptrend.
Eurodollar University Episode 160: A Conversation With Russell Napier
160.0 Interviewing Russell Napier: What the Asian Financial Crisis Wrought———Ep 160.0 Summary———Author, reformed lawyer, economic historian and your man from Belfast, Russell Napier, explains why the 1995-98 Asian Financial Crisis set the stage for the Age of Debt (1999-2020) and the coming Era of Financial Repression (2021-??).———RUSSELL NAPIER BIOGRAPHY———Russell is chairman of the Mid Wynd International Investment Trust a closed [...]
The ‘Growth Scare’ Keeps Growing Out Of The Macro (Money) Illusion
When Japan’s Ministry of Trade, Economy, and Industry (METI) reported earlier in November that Japanese Industrial Production (IP) had plunged again during the month of September 2021, it was so easy to just dismiss the decline as a product of delta COVID. According to these figures, industrial output fell an unsightly 5.4%...from August 2021, meaning month-over-month not year-over-year. Altogether, IP [...]
Sorry Jay, Curve(s) #continuity Is Not A Good Thing
Where is the “tantrum?” If there is one, to this point it has been historically minor changes limited to the shorter end of the yield curve between the 2-year and 5-year USTs. This section of it is more influenced by what the market believes Jay Powell’s Fed will do especially now that it likely will be Jay Powell’s Fed for [...]
#continuity The Least Useful Person
I do long for the day when no one cares even a tiny bit about something like this. Sadly, that day remains our very distant future because nothing has changed. This, rather than anything useful, is what everyone means when they use the word “stability” to describe these situations.For months, there had been rumors Jay Powell would be one-and-done like [...]
Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun discusses the hazards of financial news, over-speculation in the market, the prudent person investment rule & reports on retail sales, industrial production, and the housing market index.
Eurodollar University Episode 157, Part 3: Let’s Go Inside A Taper Where You’d Think It’s About Money (but you’d be very, very wrong)
157.3 Will the Next Fed Chair be a Theoretical Grammarist?———Ep 157.3 Summary———The last time the Federal Reserve tapered its QE program the central bank spent HOURS and HOURS and HOURS and HOURS on determining which adjective to us. Adverbs. Dangling participles, onomatopoeia, clauses, subject and object. What was NOT discussed? Money. Credit. Collateral. ———Sponsor——— Macropiece Theater with Emil Kalinowski (a/k/a [...]
Hawks Don’t Become Doves, The Landmine Turns Them Chicken
At first, it was taken as a sign of relief, of strength and the return of good fortune. So many massive ships each overloaded with containers stacked skyward above their beams were headed to the West Coast, the ports there couldn’t handle the traffic. The boats, and the massive cargoes they carried, themselves packed into a sort of wondrously fascinating [...]
Eurodollar University Episode 157, Part 2: Is It Time To Start Thinking About (bond) Landmines?
157.2 The US Treasury Bond Market "Landmine" is Primed———Ep 157.2 Summary———The "landmine" has been part of each of the four global/regional dollar squeezes of the past 14 years (2007-09, 2011-12, 2014-16, 2018-20). The "landmine" is when US Treasury Bond yields decline precipitously and signal that economic potential has been seriously maimed. Where are we in 2021? ———Sponsor——— Macropiece Theater with [...]
No, The Fed Does *Not* Rig The Bond Market And It Only Takes Five Seconds To Debunk This Myth
The bond market’s verdict has already been rendered. In fact, the judgment was made even before this year’s CPIs surged to the highest they’d been in a long time. The most consistently accurate and only historically validated source for sorting and signaling inflation, low yields aren’t just skeptical in being low they are unequivocal in remaining steadfastly ultra-low.For those who [...]
Stay In Touch