The FOMC met last week and did what everyone expected them to do - raised the Fed Funds rate by 0.75%. The bond and stock markets reacted not to this action but to the commentary provided by the committee in its statement and by Chairman Jerome Powell at his post meeting press conference. The former had a new phrase, a [...]
I have often been accused over the years of being too optimistic and I will plead guilty to having a little rose-colored tint in my glasses. I am an optimist by nature and I search constantly for good things to write about. There are more than enough people out there willing to tell you the world is coming to an [...]
Inflation is posing substantial additional risk to growth stocks, lowering demand and pushing money into other markets. Doug Terry, Alhambra's Head of Investment Research dissects cause and effect.
The Cleanest Dirty Shirt It’s easy to overestimate the problems the United States faces while underestimating its strengths. The challenges are certainly significant. Politics have seldom been so divisive. The government is running an annual deficit of over a trillion dollars, with a total debt many times that. Inflation has spiked. The Fed has been hiking interest rates at a [...]
It’s a bear market and you expect to have volatility, but volatility is trending even higher. Steve Brennan talks with Doug Terry, Head of Alhambra Research about what factors may push the volatility envelope.
Is the Fed Changing its mind about hike, hike, hike? Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about the latest Fed headline, as well as a full slate of economic news this week and the inversion of the 10/3 yield curve.
With inflation recently hitting a high not seen since 1981, it is now apparent that the factors that drove the disinflation trend of the last four decades are coming to an end. Globalization and demographics, the two big factors that combined to hold down prices and wages for so long, are reversing, and so too is the downtrend in prices, wages, [...]
Did Jerome Powell blink last Friday? It was just before the market open Friday and interest rates were jumping higher, as they had all week. The 10-year Treasury yield was up to 4.33%, another 11 basis points higher than the previous close and 32 basis points higher than the previous week's close. Then, "the article" hit the front page of [...]
The Federal Reserve is making the same mistakes of the 1970s, rapid hikes which could lead to rapid decreases, which could lead to the same, painful results. Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun explains.
Who caused today's high inflation? Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun unmasks those responsible and talks about how it can be fixed.
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