In the last three years, changes in the U.S. employment market have been more rapid than bullets from a machine gun. And just when we thought things were settling down, now the newest, latest trend in employment has emerged. As with all its predecessors, this change is about employee attitude and is driven primarily by Gen Z and Millennials. [...]
The stock market was down a little over 2% last week in what may be the start of a larger correction. Or not. Technically it is easy to make a case for a little more downside to the 50-day moving average, a total pullback of about 5%, and then a resumption of the uptrend. That's what happens in bull markets. [...]
As a kid, I loved watching the Lone Ranger on television. He was the protector of those who couldn’t protect themselves. He stood between good people and the bad guys who wanted to steal their land or their money. The Lone Ranger would defend others when they couldn’t defend themselves. Today, we’re much more sophisticated than the Old West, [...]
You've probably heard the phrase "soft landing" a lot lately. It has, over the last couple of months, become the new economic consensus. The economy continues to perform better than expected despite the Fed raising interest rates steadily - and fairly rapidly - over the last year. The most recent hike was just this past week and put the Fed [...]
The US economy was supposed to be in recession by now, right? The yield curve inverted almost a year ago and a slew of other reliable recession indicators have been flashing red for some time. Why not this time? Could the unprecedented response to COVID be to blame? Joe Calhoun connects the dots in the 7th issue of Follow the Money, [...]
*This week's Market Pulse will be a short one, as Joe is on a well-deserved weekend getaway. This market rally from the lows of October 2022 continues to surprise and impress. It started off as a very narrow rally where a few big tech names were pushing the S&P 500 higher, but there is much more participation now. This stock [...]
Industrial Production turns negative. Disclaimer: This information is presented for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy any investment products. None of the information herein constitutes an investment recommendation, investment advice or an investment outlook. The opinions and conclusions contained in this report are those of the individual [...]
The US economy was supposed to be in recession by now, right? The yield curve inverted almost a year ago and a slew of other reliable recession indicators have been flashing red for some time. Why not this time? Could the unprecedented response to COVID be to blame? Joe Calhoun connects the dots in the 7th issue of Follow the Money, [...]
A few weeks ago, it appeared to me that stocks were starting a correction. I was clearly wrong about that as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have moved higher since then and the rally has broadened out. And thank goodness since the things I own are mostly the parts of the market that benefitted from the broadening. Stocks tend to [...]
I spend a lot of time asking questions. I don't always have answers to these questions but I think it is critical to ask them. Think about how the consensus might be wrong or, more importantly, how you might be. Question the narrative and try to determine what's important and what's not, who you can ignore, and who merits your [...]
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