Jerome Powell has said repeatedly that the Fed's goal is to get rates higher and leave them there for an extended period of time. He believes that the mistake of the 70s was that once higher rates snuffed out inflation, the Fed cut rates too quickly and the inflation returned. I think the mistake of the 70s was that, by [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun has an opinion on why the market was on a roller coaster after the Fed statement last week; There’s more than one way to calculate the 10/3 yield curve, and don’t put all you hope on a single market indicator.
The FOMC met last week and did what everyone expected them to do - raised the Fed Funds rate by 0.75%. The bond and stock markets reacted not to this action but to the commentary provided by the committee in its statement and by Chairman Jerome Powell at his post meeting press conference. The former had a new phrase, a [...]
Demographic trends are changing the economic landscape in the United States. The older population is growing rapidly while the working population is shrinking. The labor shortage is also adding to the problem. Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun break it down.
This is the time of year when lots of folks have visions of warming their feet by the fire while the cold wind whistles outside. But with the highest mortgage rates in more than four decades, many people are getting cold feet about a cozy place of their own. The 30-year mortgage rate broke through 7% in October and that [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun explains why he's a rational optimist about current market conditions and the economy, what he expects from the solid inversion of the 10/3 yield curve, and what he expects from this week's Fed meeting.
I have often been accused over the years of being too optimistic and I will plead guilty to having a little rose-colored tint in my glasses. I am an optimist by nature and I search constantly for good things to write about. There are more than enough people out there willing to tell you the world is coming to an [...]
Inflation is posing substantial additional risk to growth stocks, lowering demand and pushing money into other markets. Doug Terry, Alhambra's Head of Investment Research dissects cause and effect.
The Cleanest Dirty Shirt It’s easy to overestimate the problems the United States faces while underestimating its strengths. The challenges are certainly significant. Politics have seldom been so divisive. The government is running an annual deficit of over a trillion dollars, with a total debt many times that. Inflation has spiked. The Fed has been hiking interest rates at a [...]
It’s a bear market and you expect to have volatility, but volatility is trending even higher. Steve Brennan talks with Doug Terry, Head of Alhambra Research about what factors may push the volatility envelope.
Stay In Touch