Market & Economic Analysis

"Study the past if you would devine the future." - Confucius

Is Parting Such Sweet Sorrow?

In the last three years, changes in the U.S. employment market have been more rapid than bullets from a machine gun. And just when we thought things were settling down, now the newest, latest trend in employment has emerged. As with all its predecessors, this change is about employee attitude and is driven primarily by Gen Z and Millennials.   [...]

By |2023-08-07T10:26:04-04:00August 7th, 2023|Markets|

Weekly Market Pulse: Expect The Unexpected

The stock market was down a little over 2% last week in what may be the start of a larger correction. Or not. Technically it is easy to make a case for a little more downside to the 50-day moving average, a total pullback of about 5%, and then a resumption of the uptrend. That's what happens in bull markets. [...]

Designate a Trusted Contact

As a kid, I loved watching the Lone Ranger on television. He was the protector of those who couldn’t protect themselves. He stood between good people and the bad guys who wanted to steal their land or their money. The Lone Ranger would defend others when they couldn’t defend themselves.   Today, we’re much more sophisticated than the Old West, [...]

By |2023-08-01T08:09:30-04:00August 1st, 2023|Markets|

Weekly Market Pulse: Soft Landing?

You've probably heard the phrase "soft landing" a lot lately. It has, over the last couple of months, become the new economic consensus. The economy continues to perform better than expected despite the Fed raising interest rates steadily - and fairly rapidly - over the last year. The most recent hike was just this past week and put the Fed [...]

SPECIAL REPORT: Follow The Money Series – The Times They Are A-Changin’

The US economy was supposed to be in recession by now, right? The yield curve inverted almost a year ago and a slew of other reliable recession indicators have been flashing red for some time. Why not this time? Could the unprecedented response to COVID be to blame? Joe Calhoun connects the dots in the 7th issue of Follow the Money, [...]

By |2023-07-25T13:37:20-04:00July 25th, 2023|Alhambra Research, Economy, Markets, Special Reports|

States to Tax Electric Vehicle Mileage

No good deed goes unpunished. And how true that is when the government, at any level, gets involved. The federal government has a full-on press pushing Americans to get rid of their gas cars and trucks and embrace the electric vehicle, although it appears there’s not a rush to be the first one on the block with an EV. Currently, [...]

By |2023-07-24T20:45:57-04:00July 24th, 2023|Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

Weekly Market Pulse: The Broadening

*This week's Market Pulse will be a short one, as Joe is on a well-deserved weekend getaway.  This market rally from the lows of October 2022 continues to surprise and impress. It started off as a very narrow rally where a few big tech names were pushing the S&P 500 higher, but there is much more participation now. This stock [...]

By |2023-07-24T08:34:11-04:00July 24th, 2023|Bonds, Commodities, Economy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Macro: Industrial Production

Industrial Production turns negative. Disclaimer: This information is presented for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy any investment products. None of the information herein constitutes an investment recommendation, investment advice or an investment outlook. The opinions and conclusions contained in this report are those of the individual [...]

By |2023-07-20T11:42:46-04:00July 20th, 2023|Markets|

SPECIAL REPORT: Follow The Money Series – The Times They Are A-Changin’

The US economy was supposed to be in recession by now, right? The yield curve inverted almost a year ago and a slew of other reliable recession indicators have been flashing red for some time. Why not this time? Could the unprecedented response to COVID be to blame? Joe Calhoun connects the dots in the 7th issue of Follow the Money, [...]

By |2023-07-18T07:42:33-04:00July 18th, 2023|Alhambra Research, Economy, Markets, Special Reports|

Weekly Market Pulse: Where’s That Correction?

A few weeks ago, it appeared to me that stocks were starting a correction. I was clearly wrong about that as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have moved higher since then and the rally has broadened out. And thank goodness since the things I own are mostly the parts of the market that benefitted from the broadening. Stocks tend to [...]

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