The economic surprises keep piling up on the negative side of the ledger as the Fed persists in tightening policy or at least pretending that they are. If a rate changes in the wilderness can the market hear it? Outside of the stock market one would be hard pressed to find evidence of the effectiveness of all the Fed's extraordinary [...]
If central banks are now almost exclusively on the defensive, we have no shortage of anecdotes and data to explain it. For a good long while economists and commentary managed to keep the US safely “decoupled” from the “overseas” maelstrom, but the deluge locally has become far too much to ignore. This is far, far deeper than just some indistinct [...]
The US stock market, now joined by most of the rest of the world, continues its one way march higher. Those who focus on fundamentals, economic or stock market, have been scratching their heads all year for an explanation, but the reality is that there is no fundamental reason for the 20%+ run this year. Earnings growth has been lackluster [...]
Thinking Things Over May 6, 2012 Volume II, Number 18: The Facebook Phenomenon and Its Economic Impact By John L. Chapman, Ph.D. Canton, Ohio. Facebook, Inc. begins its investor roadshow this week in anticipation of an initial public offering on May 18. The company's potential is virtually unlimited, though business history is replete with should-have would-have could-have stories. Regardless of its fate [...]
Joseph Gomez, Sr. Investment Advisor Companies are clearly having a tougher time living up to analyst expectations this season. Currently, only 58 percent of companies have managed to beat estimates. Even though we are in the middle of earnings season, analysts have continued to lower their earnings estimates at a quickening pace. There is a factor of seasonality at play here too. [...]
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