Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about last week's economic reports versus the bond market, what the bond market is telling us, Omicron and its effect on the market, and what investors should be watching right now.
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about last week's economic reports versus the bond market, what the bond market is telling us, Omicron and its effect on the market, and what investors should be watching right now.
The economic news recently has been better than expected and in most cases just pretty darn good. That isn't true on a global basis, as Europe continues to experience a pretty sluggish recovery from COVID. And China is busy shooting itself in the foot as Xi pursues the re-Maoing of Chinese society, damn the economic costs. But here in the [...]
168.3 Economic Growth Scare: Are Markets Rightly Scared?———Ep 168.3 Summary———The nominal value of Chinese imports of iron ore, German exports and Japanese exports all look pretty, pretty good. But the unit volume is pretty, pretty awful. There are fewer units being utilized! This is an economic warning that is presently hidden behind hire prices (value = unit * price). ———Ep [...]
168.2 Federal Reserve HAS NOT rigged the bond market ———Ep 168.2 Summary———The Federal Reserve, and other central banks, buy tremendous amounts of government securities and this should impact bond prices. Should, but doesn't. That's because there's an even more powerful force than the Fed, the bond market itself. We review the 2007-19 evidence. ———Ep 168.2 Topics——— 00:00 INTRO: Has the Federal [...]
168.1 Market says Powell's Second Term Already a Failure———Ep 168.1 Summary———Jay Powell has been nominated by President Biden to serve another term as the Federal Reserve chair. Though his nomination has not even been heard by the US Congress, another group of people has already passed judgement on the second term: the bond market (and they say it'll be a [...]
164.3 Economists Can't Define Money nor Observe Velocity———Ep 164.3 Summary———M1 and M2 once informed central bank decisions. But the monetary aggregates were so narrowly defined that they were, in effect, mere keyholes that offered policymakers an unsatisfactory, and often-enough misleading, peek into the great monetary hall. ———Ep 164.3 Topics——— 00:00 INTRO: How to define money? What is money velocity? The [...]
164.2 Beijing's Sixth Plenum Confirms World Economy Stinks ———Ep 164.2 Summary———Beijing reconfirmed what was made clear in 2017, during the 19th National Party Congress: the economic boom was over and it is time to prepare for it. If anyone in the West would care to listen, the Central Committee is referring not only to China but the entire global economy. ———Ep [...]
164.1 TIC-ked Off About Not Enough Money to Recover Global Economy———Ep 164.1 Summary———America's September 2021 Treasury International Capital data corroborates dis/deflationary indications observed across various sources, the vast majority of which imply there's not enough money, and/or it's inadequately distributed, for the global economy to achieve permanent recovery. ———Ep 164.1 Topics——— 00:00 TIC: Consistent, Coherent, Corroborated, Inflation Never Had A [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about Omicron and market movement, the big picture of economic recovery, and the U.S. Dollar uptrend.
160.0 Interviewing Russell Napier: What the Asian Financial Crisis Wrought———Ep 160.0 Summary———Author, reformed lawyer, economic historian and your man from Belfast, Russell Napier, explains why the 1995-98 Asian Financial Crisis set the stage for the Age of Debt (1999-2020) and the coming Era of Financial Repression (2021-??).———RUSSELL NAPIER BIOGRAPHY———Russell is chairman of the Mid Wynd International Investment Trust a closed [...]
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