emerging markets

Global Asset Allocation Update

By |2019-10-23T15:07:32-04:00October 26th, 2017|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

The risk budget this month shifts slightly as we add cash to the portfolio. For the moderate risk investor the allocation to bonds is unchanged at 50%, risk assets are reduced to 45% and cash is raised to 5%. The changes this month are modest and may prove temporary but I felt a move to reduce risk was prudent given [...]

Global Asset Allocation Update: Step Away From The Portfolio

By |2019-10-23T15:07:33-04:00September 22nd, 2017|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

There is no change to the risk budget this month. For the moderate risk investor, the allocation between risk assets and bonds is unchanged at 50/50. There are no changes to the portfolios this month. The post Fed meeting market reaction was a bit surprising in its intensity. The actions of the Fed were, to my mind anyway, pretty much [...]

Global Asset Allocation Update: No Upside To Credit

By |2019-10-23T15:07:33-04:00August 18th, 2017|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

There is no change to the risk budget this month. For the moderate risk investor, the allocation between risk assets and bonds is unchanged at 50/50. There are other changes to the portfolio though so please read on. As I write this the stock market is in the process of taking a dive (well if 1.4% is a "dive") and [...]

Global Asset Allocation Update: Not Yet

By |2019-10-23T15:07:34-04:00July 17th, 2017|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

There is no change to the risk budget this month. For the moderate risk investor, the allocation between risk assets and bonds is unchanged at 50/50. There are no changes to the portfolio this month. Growth and inflation expectations rose somewhat since last month's update. The change is minor though and within the range of what we've seen in recent [...]

Global Asset Allocation Update:

By |2019-10-23T15:07:35-04:00June 19th, 2017|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

There is no change to the risk budget this month. For the moderate risk investor, the allocation between risk assets and bonds is unchanged at 50/50. There are no changes to the portfolio this month. The growth and inflation outlook continued to weaken somewhat since last month's update. Certainly nothing very dramatic though, just a general, gentle trend of weaker [...]

Global Asset Allocation Update

By |2019-10-23T15:07:35-04:00May 18th, 2017|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

There is no change to the risk budget this month. For the moderate risk investor, the allocation between risk assets and bonds is unchanged at 50/50. There are, however, changes within the asset classes. We are reducing the equity allocation and raising the allocation to REITs.  Based on the bond markets there has been little change in the growth and [...]

Global Asset Allocation Update

By |2019-10-23T15:07:36-04:00April 18th, 2017|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Stocks|

There is no change to the risk budget this month. For the moderate risk investor, the allocation between risk assets and bonds is unchanged at 50/50.  The performance of markets in the first quarter of the year was a bit schizophrenic. Stocks performed well which one might interpret as a reflection of improving economic growth prospects. Certainly President Trump and [...]

Baselines Matter Eventually

By |2017-03-20T16:31:40-04:00March 20th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In a stroke of immensely fortuitous timing, India’s largest automaker Tata Motors was able to raise funds by selling bonds on offshore markets. Faced with an increasing cash crunch and unable to finance working capital needs via strictly Indian banks, the company turned to Singapore. On May 10, 2013, Tata raised S$ 350 million (Singapore dollars) Regulation S bonds paying [...]

‘Dollars’ All Along, There Are No Winners

By |2017-02-28T17:13:34-05:00February 28th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) on November 11, 2001. Its membership took a decade and a half to achieve, no small wonder given that when it started the process the country looked nothing like it did when it was complete. Even by 2001, the Chinese economy was growing fast, but that was nothing compared to what it was [...]

It Was ‘Dollars’ All Along

By |2017-02-27T19:21:17-05:00February 27th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Ross Perot famously declared the “giant sucking sound” in the 1992 Presidential campaign. The debate over NAFTA did not end with George H. W. Bush’s defeat, as it simmered in one form or another for much of the 1990’s. Curiously, however, it seemed almost perfectly absent during the 2000’s, the very decade in which Perot’s prophecy came true. Americans didn’t [...]

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