How can the US re-open the Strait of Hormuz? That is the $64,000 question for investors today and the Trump administration so far doesn't have an answer beyond asking other countries for help (which they probably should have done before they started this). While Asian and European countries certainly have an incentive to get the strait open and oil flowing [...]
"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it." - Winston Churchill in a speech to the House of Commons in 1948 "History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes." - Mark Twain I saw quite a bit of commentary last week about the similarities between the events of today and the early 1970s, specifically [...]
Predicting the future course of the markets - interest rates, stock prices, commodity prices - is impossible. That is true even in times when the future seems set, when it seems predictable, when there is consensus about the impact of all the factors that affect markets and ultimately economies. It is even more true during times of great uncertainty, times [...]
What's in a name? That which we call a rose, by any other name would smell as sweet. - Romeo and Juliet, Act II, Scene II The Supreme Court finally released its ruling on President Trump's use of the IEEPA (International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977) to impose universal tariffs on foreign goods and the verdict was utterly [...]
The Wall Street Journal published an article last week about the concentration of the S&P 500 and why you shouldn't worry about it. The gist of the article is that the index has been more concentrated in the past and calamity didn't ensue so it must be okay now. The author, Jason Zweig, is one of my favorite financial writers [...]
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