Economy

Where Is It, Chairman Powell?

By |2020-11-12T19:47:11-05:00November 12th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Where is it, Chairman Powell? After spending months deliberately hyping a “flood” of digital money printing, and then unleashing average inflation targeting making Americans believe the central bank will be wickedly irresponsible when it comes to consumer prices, the evidence portrays a very different set of circumstance. Inflationary pressures were supposed to have been visible by now, seven months and [...]

The Prices And Costs Of What Xi Believes He’s Got To Do

By |2020-11-11T19:43:19-05:00November 11th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It does seem, at first, a huge contradiction. On the one hand, what we know so far of China’s 14th 5-year plan apparently will lean heavily on new technologies not-yet invented to rescue the country’s economy from the pit of de-globalization the eurodollar system had thrown it into years ago. If the global economy isn’t going to recover, and there’s [...]

No Time For Pfizer, Europe Heads Back

By |2020-11-11T18:09:46-05:00November 11th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Europe’s problems are more immediate. Encouraging news about Pfizer’s vaccine won’t change the European circumstances in near enough time to avoid what’s more and more looking like a real possibility for a retrenchment. In this case, COVID cases are a primary culprit, meaning how authorities over there are responding to their rise. As such, it has taken the shine off [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 34; Part 2: Bunds – UST = MMT?

By |2020-11-11T16:33:16-05:00November 11th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiArt: https://davidparkins.com/ Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, with a fly in his soup.  Artwork by David Parkins.  ———WHY——— 34.2 Europe's Monetary QE a Big Bubkis (Is MMT Next?)Central bankers in Frankfurt and London are very active [...]

Vaccine-phoria

By |2020-11-10T19:51:04-05:00November 10th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

What’s interesting about vaccine-phoria is that it’s largely been contained to just the one part of the bond market. Nominal Treasury yields at the long end have surged, while those at the shorter end have moved up a bit, too. Predictably, the calls for the BOND ROUT!!!! have grown, typically referencing the guaranteed end of the so-called 40-year bond “bull.” [...]

QE Didn’t JOLT (again)

By |2020-11-10T17:13:19-05:00November 10th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

COVID-19 is a 2020 story and not so much one for 2021. Pretty much everyone, however, will be seeking to make it that way. To begin this week a stark reminder of that promise: vaccine-phoria. While that unleashed a curiously narrow risk and reflation frenzy, the fact that it wasn’t more widespread speaks to this disparity.A vaccine doesn’t really change [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 34; Part 1: China’s New 15-Year 5-Year Plan: Globalization is Dead

By |2020-11-09T18:33:06-05:00November 9th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiArt: https://davidparkins.com/ Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski.  Artwork by David Parkins.   ———WHY——— 34.1 China's New 5-Year Plan: Globalization is DeadDoes Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, have a BETTER understanding of the global [...]

Moving The Bird Back Into Its (Old) Cage

By |2020-11-09T20:06:54-05:00November 9th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The number illusion is a logical fallacy of sorts, an appeal to the authority of what looks like objectivity. You can’t argue with math. While that’s true, in social sciences there is the continued absence of real proofs which dominate the hard sciences. Newtonian physics works as a worldview because the numbers throughout history have always checked out.When an Economist [...]

Slowdown In The Rebound; Stop Listening To Central Bankers

By |2020-11-06T19:55:06-05:00November 6th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The primary reason for that first rate hike in a decade in December 2015 was ferbus figuring that full employment had probably been reached, certainly close to where the unemployment rate had fallen at that time. The Fed’s main econometric model calculated this key economic level at between 4.8% and 5.0% unemployment; the actual rate for that month hit five [...]

Good Payrolls Still Say Slowdown

By |2020-11-06T17:13:12-05:00November 6th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The payroll report for the month of October 2020 was a very good one. This shouldn’t be surprising, perfect BLS publications appear with regularity even during the most challenging of circumstances. Headlines and underneath, everything looked fine last month. It wasn’t perfect, however, and it’s the same things that leave it short of perfection which are entirely too familiar for [...]

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