Bonds

Weekly Market Pulse: A One-Handed Economist

By |2025-08-25T09:30:34-04:00August 25th, 2025|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Newsletter, Real Estate, Stocks|

All my economists say 'on one hand' then 'but on the other'. Can't someone bring me a one-handed economist? Maybe Harry Truman but on the other hand maybe Charles Frederick Carter or on the other hand maybe it was a one-armed economist Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole last Friday was widely perceived as a capitulation, an admission that rate [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Big Rate Cuts? Not Right Now

By |2025-08-18T07:45:26-04:00August 17th, 2025|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Newsletter, Real Estate, Stocks|

“I think we could go into a series of rate cuts here, starting with a 50 basis-point rate cut in September". "If you look at any model" it suggests that “we should probably be 150, 175 basis points lower.” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in a Bloomberg interview, 8/13/25 President Trump and others in his administration have been pushing for lower [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Trojan Horses

By |2025-08-11T07:38:49-04:00August 10th, 2025|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Newsletter, Real Estate, Stocks|

Last week President Trump nominated the head of his Council of Economic Advisors, Stephen Miran, to fill a vacant seat on the board of the Federal Reserve. Miran will fill the seat recently vacated by Adriana Kugler but supposedly only to complete her term, which ends on January 31st, 2026. I say supposedly because I suspect that he'll be there [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: A River In Egypt

By |2025-08-04T07:42:26-04:00August 3rd, 2025|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Newsletter, Real Estate, Stocks|

When the June employment figures were released last month, I said there was likely a seasonal adjustment problem with the numbers and that a large part of the government jobs supposedly created would likely be revised away. The employment report was reported as better-than-expected but the details weren’t as positive. Of the total of 147k new jobs reported, only 74k [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: The Grand Illusions

By |2025-07-28T07:47:21-04:00July 27th, 2025|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Newsletter, Real Estate, Stocks, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

So if you think your life is complete confusionBecause you never win the gameJust remember that it's a grand illusionAnd deep inside we're all the sameWe're all the same So if you think your life is complete confusionBecause your neighbors got it madeJust remember that it's a grand illusionAnd deep inside we're all the same Styx, The Grand Illusion Money [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: The Lamest of Ducks

By |2025-07-21T07:21:26-04:00July 20th, 2025|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Newsletter, Real Estate, Stocks|

Jerome Powell's tenure as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve has ended. Not literally, of course, because apparently Scott Bessent has, for now, talked President Trump out of firing him. But despite that reprieve, there are now several Chairmen of the Federal Reserve, none of them named Powell. He is the lamest of ducks. A lame duck, literally, is a [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: The Return Of Tariff Man

By |2025-07-14T07:40:30-04:00July 13th, 2025|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Newsletter, Real Estate, Stocks, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

Last week President Trump announced, via a letter posted on his social media site, that products from Brazil would face a 50% tariff, starting August 1st, due to their treatment of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is on trial for trying to overturn his 2022 election loss. The President also cited Brazil's treatment of US social media companies, which the [...]

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