japan

Getting Giddy About Taper

By |2021-09-13T19:58:52-04:00September 13th, 2021|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

As another central bank, the Federal Reserve, seriously contemplates tapering its latest QE, its policymaking members would do well to consider the several others who either did or thought they should. One of them, obviously, the same Fed but back in 2013. Another was the Bank of Japan early in 2018.It was March that year and “monetary” officials gathering around [...]

Honestly Not Easy

By |2021-09-13T18:44:08-04:00September 13th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Central banking’s real monetary power comes from a different kind of printing. We’re all taught and told from the very beginning that it's derived from enjoying the money printer, the ability to stack currency at will. No. In actual fact, monetary policies are all money-less leaving “monetary” authorities to employ instead the press which prints words.Deciding which words, and more [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Windshield Investing

By |2021-09-07T07:01:12-04:00September 6th, 2021|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

The economic slowdown we've been writing about for months officially arrived last Friday in the form of a particularly weak employment report. The number of new jobs created last month - or at least the WAG the BLS makes at such things on a monthly basis - was a mere 235,000 or roughly a cool half-million less than expected by [...]

Global Inflation In Japan Does Not Speak German

By |2021-08-20T16:08:47-04:00August 20th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Being able to compare European inflation rates with their American counterparts helps expose what’s driving the latter and it’s not inflationary currency. Comparing both of those inflation regimes with the Japanese simply exposes the Bank of Japan and QE. This was perfectly obvious before the Base 2020 CPI estimates came about.Central banks, we’re always told, possess the printing press of [...]

COVID Copper, or China Syndrome?

By |2021-08-19T19:52:24-04:00August 19th, 2021|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Copper, like lumber, had been the star of the space. Each had rocketed upward beginning last fall representing, for many, the leading edge of the inflationary wave sure to follow. The two garnered that much attention as well as given this much importance because the rest of the commodity class hadn’t really come close to matching their meteoric scale.It was [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Happy Anniversary!

By |2021-08-16T07:35:56-04:00August 15th, 2021|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Today is the 50th anniversary of the "Nixon shock", the day President Richard Nixon closed the gold window and ended the post-WWII Bretton Woods currency agreement. That agreement, largely a product of John Maynard Keynes, pegged the dollar to gold and most other currencies to the dollar. It wasn't a true gold standard as only other countries that were party [...]

Leading Out From Japan

By |2021-07-28T19:14:27-04:00July 28th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Admittedly, there isn’t much economic data released in the back half of every month. So, we’re sort of stretching our gaze into the second (maybe third) tier. But in this case, it’s just by way of reinforcing much what we already know and further what’s been suspected. Over in Japan, the government’s Cabinet Office gathers surveys, cross tabulates results and [...]

Maybe Interesting, Perhaps Somewhat Useful Other TIC Nuggets

By |2021-07-23T19:21:49-04:00July 23rd, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I’m just going to post some brief comments on other parts of the TIC data. The major takeaway from the May 2021 update is what I wrote earlier, how what these figures show is both entirely consistent with what will be to most people a surprisingly long history as well as completely misconstrued in mainstream conversations (what few may take [...]

Inching Closer To Another Warning, This One From Japan

By |2021-07-19T17:14:52-04:00July 19th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Central bankers nearly everywhere have succumbed to recovery fever. This has been a common occurrence among their cohort ever since the earliest days of the crisis; the first one. Many of them, or their predecessors, since this standard of fantasyland has gone on for so long, had caught the malady as early as 2007 and 2008 when the world was [...]

A Whole Lot of Synchronized

By |2021-07-12T17:26:32-04:00July 12th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Another day, another alarming piece of data delivered from China. Anyone looking for where the PBOC’s “surprise” RRR cut late last week is coming from, the Chinese car market provides yet another pretty stunning and consistent example. Together with other recent datapoints, as well as uniformly falling global bond yields, it’s more evidence for the growing very possibilities of a [...]

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